Over the past decade, the housing market has changed drastically to meet demands in a dynamic social climate influenced be a myriad of factors, from shifting demographics and highly selective spending habits to a growing passion for issues such as the outdoors, sustainability, and minimalism.
The way people view the world around them influences and shapes the housing sector and the home improvement industry.
From the emergence of eco-friendly materials and 3D-printed technology to designs focused on cultural inspiration and reversible architecture, the housing market should continue to evolve as the consumer mindset shifts.
Additionally, there is an increasing sense of people wanting their living situations to meaningfully improve after years of neglect, particularly amid an inventory-lean housing market.
That’s why our team at the Home Improvement Research Institute sees these twelve specific trends as drivers for home improvement activities and spending in 2024:
Before we dig into each these 12 trends that will drive home improvement in 2024, we must first address how homeowners have been behaving for the last couple of years.
In the third quarter of 2023, there was a significant amount of aesthetic, or finishing, projects completed, and that’s a telling indication of how homeowners feel about their residential spaces, where they are focused on making improvements, and how confident they feel investing their resources.
For example, painting projects were the most completed — and the most planned — projects by homeowners during the quarter. Painting was the most frequently completed activity in areas such as bedrooms and dining rooms. There was also a high occurrence of homeowners adding or replacing landscaping or a garden, as well as adding or removing trees and shrubs.
Additionally, about 60 percent of homeowners repaired or replaced flooring in their master bathroom in the third quarter of 2023 — compared to 42 percent in the same quarter the year prior — and about 52 percent completed a painting project in the space, making those the two most frequently completed activities.
As to why there is a continued demand for aesthetic, refinishing, and lifestyle improvements: It can be traced to the current “lock-in effect” that’s prevalent across the nation. That is coupled with a diminished housing supply, which is keeping people in their current homes longer. Mobility has been declining for the past 40 years, and 2023 will likely be the year with fewest moves and household changes, according to data from the Home Improvement Research Institute (HIRI). This is a significant demand driver for home improvement activities.
Additionally, during the housing craze in 2020 and 2021, many first-time homebuyers settled for a less-than-perfect match, including different aesthetic elements than they desired, in order to acquire some type of residential space. Now, they’re seeking out opportunities to renovate and elevate their homes to meet their desires and preferences.
Another indication of this is that consumers seem to be more apt to take on home improvement projects beyond kitchen remodels and main bathroom renovations and upgrades — which are historically some of the most in-demand projects. They are considering projects that include guest bathroom, master bedroom, guest bedroom, and dining room/breakfast nook renovations.
Some of the home improvement merchandise lines expected to have the strongest compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2023 to 2027 include electrical supplies; lawn and garden equipment and supplies; hard- and soft-surface floor coverings; nursery stock and soil treatments; roofing and supplies; and paint sundries and other supplies.
There are currently several factors at play that influence demand drivers: cultural, social, and economical. They will continue to shape the home improvement industry over the next one to five years. Here’s a high-level breakdown of emerging trends and insights that may impact your business.
DIY projects are driving the home improvement industry forward. DIY projects in the third quarter of 2023 were higher than the same quarter in 2022 — or 55 percent compared to 47 percent — and projects in which the homeowner hired a professional contractor were down from 31 percent to 28 percent. Looking forward, in terms of planned projects, about 53 percent were projected to be DIY compared to 44 percent in the third quarter of 2022.
Key Insight: If homeowners continue to show this preference for attempting projects on their own, you can expect to interact more with retailers that cater to the individual and not just to industry professionals. Developing and marketing products and materials that are intuitive and easy to use for laypersons or amateur DIYers could prove beneficial, especially during product line reviews.
Demographics are changing across the country. There is a rise in unpartnered adults and childless adults, which will continue influencing the housing market, namely visible in the number of households.
Additionally, a notable number of older people are choosing to move back in with their offspring because of increased housing prices or to help with family care. All of these factors contribute to more demand for multigenerational housing (within single family homes) and a drop in demand for multi-family housing. There’s also an ever-growing interest in conversions and accessory dwelling units (ADUs) to support multigenerational housing.
Key Insight: Multigenerational housing is a popular solution for multiple aspects of our changing demographics alongside the hindrances of the “lock-in” effect. There will be more interest in converting garages, adding apartments, and other renovations that support this type of living situation. The impact of this is bright for product categories related to adding bathrooms and kitchen spaces to accommodate multi-generational housing situations. Additionally, consumers will be looking to remodel their homes to provide better aging in place for themselves or family members. For example, there’s a rising interest in bathrooms with better accessibility. Manufacturers and retailers must cater to these needs.
There are indications that guest bathroom projects are increasing in popularity. In the third quarter of 2023, there was an upward trend in terms of homeowners planning painting, flooring, and other guest bathroom projects. The median spend for that quarter was $700, with a planned spend of $1,000 in Q4. Additionally, in the third quarter of 2023, 61 percent of projects involving guest bedrooms were DIY and 52 percent of guest bathroom projects were DIY.
This is data we’ll be observing in subsequent updates to the Quarterly Home Improvement Project Activity Tracker, to identify whether these behaviors continue trending up in popularity.
Key Insight: For a myriad of reasons driven by market forces and changes in consumer sentiments, homeowners continue to feel locked into their current living situation, and are showing in various ways increasing interest in home improvement projects that make their home a better match for their evolving lifestyle.
Architects, developers and local governments are proposing neighborhoods centered on community building and local businesses, according to the Future of Housing Trend Report, a collaboration between HIRI and Trend Hunter. These spaces are intended to be car-free, with all necessities reachable via a short walk or bike ride.
Key Insight: As urban centers expand in size and population, consumers are recognizing that their quality of life is suffering — whether that be due to alienation, affordability issues, lengthy commutes or pollution. As a result, many are moving away from city centers and turning to community-based neighborhoods. In doing so, these individuals gain a sense of belonging, because they can facilitate stronger connections with people nearby while also satisfying the need for convenience.
Building off of the desire for more sustainable living, the emergence of simple, more minimalist design emphasizes homeowners’ changing perceptions about their station in the world around them. New homes are trending slightly smaller in size, which will impact home improvement needs 5, 10, 20 years into the future.
Additionally, from a wellness perspective, people are increasingly aware of the benefits of spending time outdoors. From a practical standpoint, investing in well-designed home improvements for outdoor spaces can significantly increase the value of a home for existing homeowners navigating their limited choices for change due to the “lock-in” effect.
Whether driven by a desire to create a comfortable and functional space for living, entertaining and enjoying fresh air, or by the prospect of creating a more valuable home, homeowners will continue improving their outdoor living spaces for years. Brands can capitalize on this trend by offering a wide variety of outdoor products or by inducing outdoor design in their list of services.
As society evolves, what matters in our homes evolves as well. Learn more about the future of housing by gaining full access to this Trend Hunter report, included with your HIRI membership.
Key Insight: Contemporary consumers in fast-paced urban centers are looking to balance the demands of their daily lifestyle with a comfortable home environment. Many are prioritizing minimalist designs and additional indoor and outdoor spaces that can optimize and elevate their living situation without compromising aesthetic appeal.
Natural disasters caused about $25 billion worth of damage in 2023 — an all-time high — and this trend is expected to continue. Homeowners are taking notice and responding to the heightened risk of natural disasters, which is why we’re seeing higher demand for exterior shell improvements. This is especially significant because of the costs associated with home exterior shell projects.
For example, in the third quarter of 2023, about 9 percent of projects included exterior shell activity, along with 6 percent of planned projects. However, homeowners spent the most money on home exterior shell projects in that same quarter compared to other rooms in their house. The median spending for that 90-day period was roughly $2,000 per project.
Key Insight: Homeowners want to outfit their homes to withstand the risks associated with natural disasters, and they’ll spend more than average to invest in these types of projects. Additionally, this is one area where homeowners are less likely to do it themselves, with roughly 56 percent choosing to hire a professional to complete the work.
With sustainability as a top priority, architects and designers are embracing different eco-friendly concepts. One example is the adoption of “reversible design,” which is the architecture of structures that can be easily deconstructed, that can be reused (ie, repurposed spaces) or with parts that can be removed and added easily.
3D-printed housing is making the process of designing natural, disaster-proof housing easier. These homes offer sustainable and protective construction that avoids structural issues in the case of extreme weather.
Key Insight: Contemporary consumers are wary of being a detriment to their environment and are seeking ways to be a net positive impact where feasible. As a result, many are demanding that brands and creators take sustainability factors into consideration. In doing so, these individuals feel more at ease and proud of their advocacy for a better future.
The smart home market is growing with 37 percent of all Internet-connected homes having at least one smart home device. Adoption is predicted to continue to rise as purchase intentions are at an all-time high. Furthermore, HIRI commissioned a report from global market intelligence firm Omdia on behalf of members that forecasts the global smart-home market will exceed $167 billion in 2025 (up from about $58.5 billion in 2020).
As the market continues to grow at breakneck speed, companies are racing to innovate home technology integrations, imagining what’s next in smart controls for lighting, energy efficiency and more.
Insight: The appeal of connected homes for consumers is that they’re able to streamline and organize day-to-day household tasks and routines. Between work, raising children, social lives and/or maintaining personal health and hobbies, consumers are increasingly turning to brands that make their daily activities feel more manageable.
However, consumers shopping for smart-home devices are not only shopping to improve their quality of life. In certain product categories, smart-home devices have quickly become an aid for the resale value of the home. This will matter more during shifts from a seller’s to buyer’s market and during a cooler housing market in general.
Coming out of COVID-19, people have a new appreciation for experiences and a thirst to pursue them. This is important to the home improvement industry because resources are finite and this pursuit of experiences poses a big competition for consumer dollars, especially as disposable incomes are shrinking through 2023 and into 2024. Homeowners are navigating decisions about whether to spend on travel, out-of-home entertainment, and events or invest toward home repair and renovation projects.
Insight: Manufacturers and distributors should be prepared to meet the “experiential economy” head on through their marketing and messaging. There is an opportunity for industry professionals to communicate that individuals can create valuable experiences in the home through entertainment areas, game rooms, basement rec rooms, and outdoor areas.
Additionally, encourage them to see the value of amenities that will help them more conveniently entertain in their homes. This includes renovations that involve large kitchen islands with seating, beverage stations, pantries, and the like. Those brands that can market their products and services as part of cultivating memorable experiences in and around the home will win more of the customers’ share of wallet.
Another ongoing trend exacerbated by the COVID pandemic is increasing levels of stress and anxiety – and how people are searching for antidotes within their living space. Liza Haussman spoke on this topic at the 2023 Home Improvement Insights Summit, citing that now, 27 percent of Americans are work entirely home, compared to just 6 percent in 2018. Many more are engaged in some type of hybrid model. But this has some negative effects, such as the constant pressure of multitasking, a disruption of work-life balance, and isolation, which homeowners can be primed to counteract through home improvement projects.
It’s also worth noting that home improvement projects that involve outdoor living spaces, yards, and landscapes are the most likely to be DIY. In the third quarter of 2023, 72 percent of homeowners did their yard, landscaping, or garden project and 63 percent tackled outdoor living spaces.
Further, there’s been an increase of individuals searching for residential spaces that include saunas, spa-like bathrooms, yoga rooms, and plunge pools. Connecting to nature is top of mind for consumers, who are interested in outdoor terraces, rooftop decks, patios, and similar amenities.
Key Insight: Think about what your customers need and want to support their mental and emotional well-being in their home and what home improvements could make the remote/hybrid workmodel feel better. This is an opportunity for manufacturers to consider what products they will develop and provide to consumers to create better indoor and outdoor spaces at home. Suppliers should also consider the breadth of their product lines that cater to mental wellness in the home.
According to HIRI research, homeowners report the need to repair or maintain the house as a primary reason for purchasing many home improvement products, but when considering options for the repair, homeowners are factoring in their busy lives into which products they purchase, favoring lower maintenance options when other factors are constant.
Examples of low-maintenance home improvement products include:
Composite decking
Vinyl siding
LVP flooring
These products require minimal upkeep and are designed to last for many years without the need for regular cleaning, painting, staining or other maintenance tasks.
Insight: Brands offering maintenance-free home improvement products should market their offerings according to homeowner values such as convenience, ease of maintenance and cost effectiveness.
Consumer confidence continues to struggle, although consumer sentiment improved a bit by the third quarter of 2023 after dropping heavily at the end of 2021 and through 2022. Historically, when consumer confidence is down, they make fewer purchases, and when they do spend, they are trading down, changing shopping behaviors, and looking for deals the incentivize making the purchase now, despite the reservations they have about the state of the overall economy.
HIRI data continues to corroborates this behavioral norm, showing that minor and midrange remodels and repairs have fared better amid challenges over this past year than major alterations and additions, as shared by Dave King and Todd Tomalak in their presentation during HIRI’s 2023 Home Improvement Insights Summit.
People are scaling back what projects they’re starting or settling for moderately sized improvements. Homeowners feel a lot more confident about starting a project that’s less than $5,000 than they do about planning a project with a budget over $5,000 according to findings in the 2023 Monthly Home Improvement Project Tracker, in partnership with The Farnsworth Group.
Key Insight: It’s essential for manufacturers to have clarity on what constitutes “value” to customers as they continue to trade down and cut back. What attributes are so important to customers that they won’t compromise on them? Focus on communicating value and prioritizing the right balance between quality and price.
As society evolves, what matters in consumers’ homes evolves as well. The most important part of this is for you and your brand to understand what trends are shaping consumer sentiment, their shopping behaviors, and their home improvement activities, and then shifting business and marketing strategies to meet their needs and preferences.
To dig more deeply into product category and project type specific research, consider becoming a HIRI member.
The Home Improvement Research Institute provides members access to a wide range of data and insights about customer behaviors, channel preferences, and product selections to help inform your business strategies and key decision-making.