The year 2023 was a bit of a rough one for the home improvement industry. Both professional and consumer markets for various product categories were hit with negative growth. Spending slowed.
We’re starting to see signs of recovery in 2024, but we also can’t be too quick to dismiss the uncertain economic environment and pervasive concerns about inflation that are affecting homeowners across the country.
According to data from our recent study on Spending Patterns in a Changing Market: Home Improvement Trends During and Post Pandemic, about 65% of homeowners listed inflation as one of their biggest concerns over the past 12 months. Another 57% cited the economy, in general.
These financial and economic concerns have a direct impact on homeowners and how they feel about undertaking new home improvement projects, as well as their approach to spending and hiring professionals for such activities.
Inflation, rising remodeling costs, and stagnated incomes are influencing homeowner readiness within the home improvement industry in 2024, although not equally across the board. Certain demographics remain interested and eager to take on new projects, while others are more hesitant or might choose smaller DIY projects instead of large-scale remodels and renovations.
Here is a look at some of the top trends that continue to shape homeowners perspectives on home improvement in 2024:
Renovation and remodeling costs remain high in 2024 as a result of steep prices for raw materials, variations in the labor market, and general inflation. We’ve seen how this trend influences the behaviors and decisions made by homeowners.
For example, as a response to the increased costs for home improvement over the past 12 months, about a third of homeowners simply delayed a project or chose to focus on one larger-scale project and not complete other home improvement projects.
For small projects, homeowners simply tend to use less expensive materials. Looking forward, they plan to undertake more DIY projects — especially for those in the less-than-$5,000 range — and only utilize contractors for larger-scale projects. However, despite a rollback in numerous discretionary categories, homeowners still plan to spend about the same or more — rather than less — on home improvement, while deprioritizing home goods and décor, going out to eat, entertainment, and vacations.
The home improvement market experienced a spike in growth in 2020 and 2021, and then sharply declined the following year. After a small drop of 1.5% in 2023, we are starting to see a little growth this year, according to HIRI’s Monthly Economic and Industry Update from June 2024. That growth should continue steadily from 2025 to 2028, resulting in a roughly $642.3 billion home improvement products market by the end of the forecasted period. The professional market was hit hardest in 2023, but is expected to increase steadily during the next couple of years.
Household income is one of the best indicators of home improvement spending. In the past few years, lower- and middle-income households had discretionary income and were able to secure financing with lower rates. However, the market has drastically shifted in the past year and nearly all homeowners are feeling the impacts of inflation. The new economic environment sees higher interest rates for low- and middle-income homeowners, who are simultaneously experiencing steady or worsening incomes, savings account balances, and discretionary income.
For example, 86% of those with a household income of $80,000 or less have seen their take-home income remain “the same” or “worsen.” The same is true for roughly two-thirds of households making $80,000 to $159,000 per year.
As a result, lower- and middle-class households are tightening their belts. On the other hand, higher-income homeowners plan to ramp up their spending in the next year as they have the reserves to do so.
A majority of homeowners would potentially be interested in moving to a new house, if interest rates and availability were to improve. A quarter of them are currently locked into their existing home, having secured a mortgage rate lower than 3%; they are hesitant to give that up. This group of homeowners is unlikely to move unless mortgage rates once again reach a low-enough percentage, or less than 4%, according to HIRI’s research.
In terms of demographics, our research shows that those who are likely to move skew younger (ages 25 to 44) and higher income (upward of $80,000). Meanwhile, older homeowners, who’ve been in their homes for 20-plus years, are content to stay put.
The largest predictor of future home improvement spending is previous expenditures, and there’s a noticeable relationship between homeowners who feel locked into their current housing situation and what they’re willing to spend on home improvement. According to our Spending Patterns in a Changing Market report from June, “locked in” homeowners have spent an average of approximately $7,000 on home improvement in the past year — and they are anticipating to spend even more in the next 12 months.
Targeting loyal customers and those who’ve demonstrated recent engagement in home improvement activity is a smart strategy for industry stakeholders.
Higher-income homeowners — who’ve seen their take-home income and savings improve over the past couple of years — may have the opportunity to move sooner and more readily than lower- and middle-class homeowners. In short, they have the means and motivation to do so. As they prepare their current homes for sale, they will be looking to complete home improvement and renovation projects.
That being said, ”preparing a home for sale” as a motivation for undertaking a home improvement project leads to an average spend of less than $4,000. Homeowners tend to spend more on a project when it is motivated by something else, such as improving quality of life or preparing to age in place.
About two-thirds of homeowners feel it’s a bad time to start a home improvement project that costs more than $5,000, given their personal finances and economic concerns. Additionally, high-spend projects were twice as likely as smaller-scale projects to have been pulled forward during the pandemic.
Now, smaller projects — those that cost less than $5,000 — are more palatable. In fact, about 70% of homeowners in 2024 feel that it’s “about the same” or even a “good time” to start a home improvement project under $5,000. However, high-income owners are the exception in 2024. They plan to spend more in the future, as there will be less competition in the market. They anticipated being able to complete their high-spend projects more easily and conveniently.
The greatest motivation for undertaking home improvement projects in the past 12 months was “to better enjoy” a home, followed by updating the “home’s style.” However, the highest spending is generally tied to remodeling projects, such as expanding a home to accommodate a change in family size; increasing the value of one’s home; and making a home more energy efficient.
These types of projects lead to an average spending of $7,000 to $10,000.
To learn more about homeowners’ current perspectives on home buying and home improvement, as well as how financial concerns post-pandemic influence their inclination to take on new projects, download our Spending Patterns in Changing Market: Home Improvement Trends During and Post Pandemic report from June 2024. As a member of the Home Improvement Research Institute, you will gain access to not only this research, but other data and insights on both professional customers and DIY consumers to help guide your business strategies in the coming year.
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